Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.220673 0.308378 0.406983 0.523689 0.655967 0.799469 0.965268
2025-06-29 0.097555 0.200693 0.336473 0.515232 0.734370 0.986491 1.291685
2025-07-06 0.056070 0.163148 0.322245 0.546146 0.832688 1.172174 1.592137
2025-07-13 0.032650 0.140165 0.319629 0.586381 0.938969 1.365489 1.900988
2025-07-20 0.017372 0.120967 0.316082 0.620590 1.034010 1.542455 2.188151
2025-07-27 0.010925 0.116283 0.332867 0.681566 1.162707 1.760198 2.523975
2025-08-03 0.004911 0.105100 0.335867 0.721012 1.262030 1.940932 2.814850
2025-08-10 0.000552 0.084821 0.318052 0.727002 1.314933 2.062476 3.033092
2025-08-17 NaN 0.053771 0.269910 0.681239 1.293875 2.087982 3.131860
2025-08-24 NaN 0.029160 0.222431 0.629412 1.259675 2.093294 3.202965
2025-08-31 NaN 0.017172 0.197828 0.611414 1.270630 2.155063 3.342608
2025-09-07 NaN 0.011745 0.189268 0.619943 1.319145 2.265538 3.542986
2025-09-14 NaN 0.005440 0.170542 0.610013 1.343055 2.347817 3.714123
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001314 0.149341 0.592550 1.354800 2.414026 3.865844
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000885 0.154838 0.628119 1.447281 2.588768 4.155824
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000741 0.163676 0.670719 1.550853 2.778845 4.465861
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000485 0.169783 0.707587 1.645599 2.957063 4.760874
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000935 0.189270 0.772773 1.784574 3.195634 5.133649
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000779 0.197770 0.814895 1.887787 3.385738 5.444416
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000092 0.189550 0.821278 1.935189 3.499878 5.657671
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.157397 0.772435 1.894156 3.492153 5.713239
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.125343 0.716997 1.839196 3.463026 5.739341
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.109964 0.697712 1.840842 3.510936 5.864216